DRTS
Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.Open13.77−0.49 −3.42%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 15m delay
Open
14.12
Prev close
14.26
Day range
13.6514.25
52-week range
3.4315.79
Volume
394.88K0.71×
Mkt cap
1.27B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-25.76
EPS ttm
-1.04
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
—
From 52w high
−12.78%
DRTS market-implied price distribution
DRTS Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 65.5%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 13.77
Expected price
13.90
forward 13.97
68% range
11–17
−22.9% / +20.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6.34 | −54.0% |
| 16% | 10.63 | −22.9% |
| 25% | 11.93 | −13.3% |
| 50% (median) | 13.72 | −0.3% |
| 75% | 15.46 | +12.2% |
| 84% | 16.54 | +20.1% |
| 95% | 23.08 | +67.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (14.46) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (15.15) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (13.08) | 40% |
| Down 10% or more (12.40) | 30% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 30%, 0.9× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.