DRI
Darden Restaurants, Inc.Open207.43+7.82 +3.92%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:52 ET · 20m delay
Open
200.21
Prev close
199.61
Day range
198.41207.43
52-week range
169.00229.76
Volume
555.66K0.46×
Mkt cap
23.47B
P/E ttm
20.14
Fwd P/E
16.73
EPS ttm
10.30
Div yield
3.25%
Earnings
Dec 18, 2026
From 52w high
−9.72%
DRI market-implied price distribution
DRI Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 28.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 207.43
Expected price
206.35
forward 206.67
68% range
188–224
−9.1% / +8.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 173.22 | −16.5% |
| 16% | 188.47 | −9.1% |
| 25% | 194.61 | −6.2% |
| 50% (median) | 206.53 | −0.4% |
| 75% | 218.35 | +5.3% |
| 84% | 224.33 | +8.1% |
| 95% | 238.37 | +14.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (217.80) | 26% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (228.17) | 12% |
| Down 5% or more (197.05) | 29% |
| Down 10% or more (186.68) | 14% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 14%, 1.0× the 14% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.