DNTH
Dianthus Therapeutics, Inc.Open77.87−3.71 −4.54%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 13:45 ET · 15m delay
Open
81.42
Prev close
81.57
Day range
77.8581.46
52-week range
32.22117.88
Volume
282.24K0.35×
Mkt cap
4.36B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-16.89
EPS ttm
-4.24
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−33.95%
DNTH market-implied price distribution
DNTH Price at Expiry
17 OTM quotes · ATM IV 80.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
40%
spot 77.87
Expected price
80.74
forward 80.26
68% range
54–94
−30.7% / +20.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 33.06 | −57.5% |
| 16% | 54.00 | −30.7% |
| 25% | 63.78 | −18.1% |
| 50% (median) | 74.34 | −4.5% |
| 75% | 85.35 | +9.6% |
| 84% | 94.02 | +20.7% |
| 95% | 168.87 | +116.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (81.76) | 31% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (85.65) | 25% |
| Down 5% or more (73.97) | 49% |
| Down 10% or more (70.08) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 1.1× the 35% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.