DMLP
Dorchester Minerals, L.P.Pre-market29.71−0.04 −0.13%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
29.79
Prev close
29.75
Day range
29.5129.99
52-week range
20.8530.54
Volume
49.81K0.31×
Mkt cap
1.46B
P/E ttm
16.98
Fwd P/E
—
EPS ttm
1.75
Div yield
10.73%
Earnings
—
From 52w high
−2.72%
DMLP market-implied price distribution
DMLP Price at Expiry
8 OTM quotes · ATM IV 29.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
35%
spot 29.71
Expected price
29.22
forward 28.82
68% range
27–31
−10.0% / +5.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 24.82 | −16.4% |
| 16% | 26.72 | −10.0% |
| 25% | 27.47 | −7.6% |
| 50% (median) | 28.88 | −2.8% |
| 75% | 30.36 | +2.2% |
| 84% | 31.22 | +5.1% |
| 95% | 34.50 | +16.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (31.20) | 16% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (32.68) | 8.4% |
| Down 5% or more (28.22) | 38% |
| Down 10% or more (26.74) | 16% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 16%, 0.7× the 23% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.