Reverse DCF: today's price implies 85.9% a year of FCF growth for years 1–5, against 20.9% in this model.
Model: 20.9% from analyst next-year EPS & revenue growth. Fades linearly to terminal growth by year 10.
Model: 7.72% (CAPM, see the build-up).
Long-run growth after year 10; keep it at or below nominal GDP.
| PV of free cash flow, years 1–10 | INR 37.57B |
|---|---|
| PV of terminal value (69% of EV) | INR 83.64B |
| Enterprise value | INR 121.22B |
| + Cash & investments | INR 32.33B |
| − Total debt | −INR 70.00M |
| Equity value | INR 153.48B |
| ÷ Shares outstanding | 265.47M |
| Value per share | INR 578.13 |
| Market cap | INR 2.46T |
| Risk-free rate (10-yr Treasury) | 5.22% |
|---|---|
| Beta (clamped 0.5–2.5) | 0.50 |
| Equity risk premium | 5.00% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM) | 7.72% |
| Pre-tax cost of debt | 12.00% |
| Tax rate | 24.2% |
| Debt / (equity + debt) | 0.0% |
| WACC | 7.72% |
Cost of debt is interest expense ÷ total debt, held between the risk-free rate and 12%.
| WACC ↓ / g → | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.72% | 731.53 | 802.82 | 896.23 | 1,023.97 | 1,209.23 |
| 6.72% | 603.16 | 646.06 | 699.12 | 766.43 | 854.62 |
| 7.72% | 516.60 | 544.68 | 578.13 | 618.66 | 668.79 |
| 8.72% | 454.45 | 473.92 | 496.52 | 523.07 | 554.69 |
| 9.72% | 407.77 | 421.86 | 437.90 | 456.32 | 477.70 |
Green is above today's price, red below (full colour at ±30%). The outlined centre cell is the current inputs.
| Year | Growth | Free cash flow | Discount factor | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base (FY2026) | — | INR 2.18B | — | — |
| Year 1 | 20.9% | INR 2.64B | 0.928 | INR 2.45B |
| Year 2 | 20.9% | INR 3.19B | 0.862 | INR 2.75B |
| Year 3 | 20.9% | INR 3.85B | 0.800 | INR 3.08B |
| Year 4 | 20.9% | INR 4.66B | 0.743 | INR 3.46B |
| Year 5 | 20.9% | INR 5.63B | 0.689 | INR 3.88B |
| Year 6 | 17.2% | INR 6.60B | 0.640 | INR 4.22B |
| Year 7 | 13.5% | INR 7.49B | 0.594 | INR 4.45B |
| Year 8 | 9.9% | INR 8.23B | 0.552 | INR 4.54B |
| Year 9 | 6.2% | INR 8.74B | 0.512 | INR 4.48B |
| Year 10 | 2.5% | INR 8.96B | 0.475 | INR 4.26B |
Two-stage free-cash-flow model, the same as the bot's lgf dcf: five years at the chosen growth rate, a straight-line fade to terminal growth by year ten, then a Gordon-growth terminal value. Everything is discounted at WACC.
Base cash flow is the trailing four quarters of operating cash flow minus capital expenditure (the latest fiscal year when quarters are missing). Default growth uses analyst long-term growth when Yahoo publishes it, else the average of next year's EPS and revenue growth, else revenue CAGR, held between −5% and 25%.
A DCF is only as good as its inputs. The terminal value is usually most of the answer, so read the sensitivity grid before the headline number. This is a model, not investment advice.