DIOD
Diodes IncorporatedOpen90.27−0.35 −0.39%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 12:39 ET · 15m delay
Open
88.59
Prev close
90.62
Day range
87.2990.51
52-week range
42.28125.99
Volume
129.26K0.23×
Mkt cap
4.16B
P/E ttm
48.27
Fwd P/E
15.48
EPS ttm
1.87
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−28.35%
DIOD market-implied price distribution
DIOD Price at Expiry
16 OTM quotes · ATM IV 70.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
45%
spot 90.27
Expected price
89.19
forward 89.61
68% range
69–108
−24.1% / +19.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 49.89 | −44.7% |
| 16% | 68.50 | −24.1% |
| 25% | 75.60 | −16.2% |
| 50% (median) | 87.98 | −2.5% |
| 75% | 100.50 | +11.3% |
| 84% | 107.52 | +19.1% |
| 95% | 129.67 | +43.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (94.78) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (99.30) | 27% |
| Down 5% or more (85.76) | 45% |
| Down 10% or more (81.24) | 35% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 35%, 0.9× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.