DHT
DHT Holdings, Inc.Closed26.22+1.58 +6.41%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 26.55 +1.26%
Open
25.70
Prev close
24.64
Day range
25.5026.46
52-week range
10.8326.47
Volume
8.08M2.24×
Mkt cap
4.23B
P/E ttm
9.50
Fwd P/E
10.47
EPS ttm
2.76
Div yield
18.61%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−0.94%
DHT market-implied price distribution
DHT Price at Expiry
16 OTM quotes · ATM IV 67.8%
Days to expiry
39
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
38%
spot 26.22
Expected price
25.25
forward 25.29
68% range
20–31
−23.4% / +17.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 16.14 | −38.5% |
| 16% | 20.10 | −23.4% |
| 25% | 21.58 | −17.7% |
| 50% (median) | 24.64 | −6.0% |
| 75% | 28.30 | +7.9% |
| 84% | 30.80 | +17.5% |
| 95% | 36.02 | +37.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (27.53) | 29% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (28.84) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (24.91) | 52% |
| Down 10% or more (23.60) | 41% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 41%, 1.0× the 42% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.