DB
Deutsche Bank AGOpen33.37−0.28 −0.85%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 11:49 ET · 20m delay
Open
33.95
Prev close
33.65
Day range
33.2934.04
52-week range
28.1241.62
Volume
1.12M0.57×
Mkt cap
62.69B
P/E ttm
8.71
Fwd P/E
7.04
EPS ttm
3.83
Div yield
3.46%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−19.83%
DB market-implied price distribution
DB Price at Expiry
18 OTM quotes · ATM IV 35.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 33.37
Expected price
33.50
forward 33.62
68% range
30–37
−11.6% / +11.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 26.28 | −21.2% |
| 16% | 29.51 | −11.6% |
| 25% | 30.99 | −7.1% |
| 50% (median) | 33.54 | +0.5% |
| 75% | 35.92 | +7.7% |
| 84% | 37.14 | +11.3% |
| 95% | 40.23 | +20.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (35.03) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (36.70) | 19% |
| Down 5% or more (31.70) | 31% |
| Down 10% or more (30.03) | 19% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 19%, 1.1× the 17% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.