DASH
DoorDash, Inc.Pre-market194.24−2.26 −1.15%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delay
Open
195.00
Prev close
196.50
Day range
189.30195.78
52-week range
143.30285.50
Volume
2.05M0.51×
Mkt cap
84.16B
P/E ttm
101.17
Fwd P/E
23.54
EPS ttm
1.92
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Nov 4, 2026
From 52w high
−31.96%
DASH market-implied price distribution
DASH Price at Expiry
22 OTM quotes · ATM IV 58.7%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 194.24
Expected price
194.14
forward 194.92
68% range
160–227
−17.5% / +17.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 132.51 | −31.8% |
| 16% | 160.17 | −17.5% |
| 25% | 171.41 | −11.8% |
| 50% (median) | 193.72 | −0.3% |
| 75% | 216.18 | +11.3% |
| 84% | 227.48 | +17.1% |
| 95% | 253.32 | +30.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (203.95) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (213.66) | 27% |
| Down 5% or more (184.53) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (174.82) | 28% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 28%, 1.0× the 29% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.