CTEV
Claritev CorporationOpen23.87−0.47 −1.91%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:39 ET · 20m delay
Open
24.50
Prev close
24.33
Day range
23.7224.42
52-week range
11.5073.68
Volume
44.80K0.32×
Mkt cap
404.45M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
3.26
EPS ttm
-17.00
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 7, 2026
From 52w high
−67.61%
CTEV market-implied price distribution
CTEV Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 116.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 23.87
Expected price
24.52
forward 24.20
68% range
15–32
−38.2% / +32.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 10.82 | −54.6% |
| 16% | 14.75 | −38.2% |
| 25% | 17.87 | −25.1% |
| 50% (median) | 23.24 | −2.6% |
| 75% | 28.37 | +18.9% |
| 84% | 31.67 | +32.7% |
| 95% | 45.50 | +90.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (25.06) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (26.25) | 34% |
| Down 5% or more (22.67) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (21.48) | 40% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 40%, 0.9× the 45% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.