COUR
Coursera, Inc.Pre-market5.07−0.09 −1.74%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
5.19
Prev close
5.16
Day range
5.015.22
52-week range
4.5310.77
Volume
5.07M0.81×
Mkt cap
1.45B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
6.16
EPS ttm
-0.7100
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Jul 29, 2026
From 52w high
−52.92%
COUR market-implied price distribution
COUR Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 76.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 5.07
Expected price
5.01
forward 5.10
68% range
4–6
−30.2% / +22.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 2.41 | −52.5% |
| 16% | 3.54 | −30.2% |
| 25% | 4.16 | −17.9% |
| 50% (median) | 5.02 | −0.9% |
| 75% | 5.80 | +14.4% |
| 84% | 6.22 | +22.8% |
| 95% | 7.67 | +51.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (5.32) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (5.58) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (4.82) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (4.56) | 35% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 35%, 0.9× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.