CORZ
Core Scientific, Inc.After hours15.43+0.41 +2.73%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 15.20 −1.49%
Open
14.58
Prev close
15.02
Day range
14.2815.49
52-week range
13.3630.46
Volume
16.32M1.37×
Mkt cap
4.96B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
94.80
EPS ttm
-4.25
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Jul 28, 2026
From 52w high
−49.34%
CORZ market-implied price distribution
CORZ Price at Expiry
11 OTM quotes · ATM IV 79.1%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 15.43
Expected price
15.37
forward 15.37
68% range
12–19
−22.4% / +21.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 10.63 | −31.1% |
| 16% | 11.98 | −22.4% |
| 25% | 12.82 | −16.9% |
| 50% (median) | 14.91 | −3.4% |
| 75% | 17.43 | +13.0% |
| 84% | 18.78 | +21.7% |
| 95% | 21.78 | +41.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (16.20) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (16.97) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (14.66) | 47% |
| Down 10% or more (13.89) | 38% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 38%, 1.0× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.