COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.After hours194.16−3.06 −1.55%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 194.16 0.00%
Open
198.72
Prev close
197.22
Day range
193.84199.64
52-week range
124.02219.65
Volume
322.93K0.66×
Mkt cap
12.92B
P/E ttm
25.78
Fwd P/E
4.99
EPS ttm
7.53
Div yield
0.51%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−11.60%
COKE market-implied price distribution
COKE Price at Expiry
16 OTM quotes · ATM IV 43.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 194.16
Expected price
194.37
forward 195.28
68% range
168–221
−13.6% / +13.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 142.20 | −26.8% |
| 16% | 167.78 | −13.6% |
| 25% | 177.32 | −8.7% |
| 50% (median) | 195.13 | +0.5% |
| 75% | 212.20 | +9.3% |
| 84% | 220.62 | +13.6% |
| 95% | 239.87 | +23.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (203.87) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (213.58) | 23% |
| Down 5% or more (184.45) | 34% |
| Down 10% or more (174.74) | 22% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 22%, 0.9× the 24% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.