CODI
D/B/A Compass Diversified HoldiAfter hours11.04+0.26 +2.41%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 11.04 −0.09%
Open
10.95
Prev close
10.78
Day range
10.8611.09
52-week range
4.5813.25
Volume
502.57K0.80×
Mkt cap
830.61M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
17.14
EPS ttm
-2.12
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 10, 2026
From 52w high
−16.68%
CODI market-implied price distribution
CODI Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 54.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
62%
spot 11.04
Expected price
11.28
forward 10.97
68% range
9–13
−16.6% / +16.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 4.98 | −54.9% |
| 16% | 9.21 | −16.6% |
| 25% | 10.31 | −6.6% |
| 50% (median) | 11.47 | +3.9% |
| 75% | 12.34 | +11.8% |
| 84% | 12.85 | +16.4% |
| 95% | 18.10 | +63.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (11.59) | 46% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (12.14) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (10.49) | 28% |
| Down 10% or more (9.94) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 0.7× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.