CLDX
Celldex Therapeutics, Inc.After hours28.25−1.18 −4.01%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 28.25 0.00%
Open
29.28
Prev close
29.43
Day range
27.9229.28
52-week range
22.1045.14
Volume
1.90M1.43×
Mkt cap
2.22B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-6.67
EPS ttm
-4.35
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
—
From 52w high
−37.42%
CLDX market-implied price distribution
CLDX Price at Expiry
32 OTM quotes · ATM IV 435.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
100.0%
spot 28.25
Expected price
113.30
forward 28.89
68% range
73–150
+160.1% / +432.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 60.64 | +114.7% |
| 16% | 73.48 | +160.1% |
| 25% | 83.98 | +197.3% |
| 50% (median) | 112.95 | +299.8% |
| 75% | 140.51 | +397.4% |
| 84% | 150.42 | +432.5% |
| 95% | 162.55 | +475.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (29.66) | 100.0% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (31.08) | 100.0% |
| Down 5% or more (26.84) | 0.0% |
| Down 10% or more (25.43) | 0.0% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 0.0%, 0.0× the 73% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.