CL
Colgate-Palmolive CompanyOpen89.58−0.40 −0.44%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:18 ET · 20m delay
Open
90.92
Prev close
89.98
Day range
89.4191.05
52-week range
74.5599.33
Volume
525.56K0.11×
Mkt cap
71.41B
P/E ttm
35.27
Fwd P/E
21.87
EPS ttm
2.54
Div yield
2.36%
Earnings
Oct 30, 2026
From 52w high
−9.82%
CL market-implied price distribution
CL Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 26.3%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 89.58
Expected price
89.34
forward 89.85
68% range
83–95
−7.4% / +6.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 75.51 | −15.7% |
| 16% | 82.98 | −7.4% |
| 25% | 85.86 | −4.2% |
| 50% (median) | 90.35 | +0.9% |
| 75% | 93.97 | +4.9% |
| 84% | 95.17 | +6.2% |
| 95% | 99.10 | +10.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (94.06) | 24% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (98.54) | 6.0% |
| Down 5% or more (85.10) | 22% |
| Down 10% or more (80.62) | 12% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 12%, 1.4× the 8.5% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.