CI
The Cigna GroupPre-market283.34+0.91 +0.32%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
283.36
Prev close
282.43
Day range
281.36285.18
52-week range
239.51311.34
Volume
961.94K0.57×
Mkt cap
74.87B
P/E ttm
11.75
Fwd P/E
8.46
EPS ttm
24.11
Div yield
2.20%
Earnings
Nov 5, 2026
From 52w high
−8.99%
CI market-implied price distribution
CI Price at Expiry
13 OTM quotes · ATM IV 34.4%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 283.34
Expected price
279.85
forward 284.33
68% range
240–311
−15.2% / +9.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 209.75 | −26.0% |
| 16% | 240.32 | −15.2% |
| 25% | 262.33 | −7.4% |
| 50% (median) | 287.11 | +1.3% |
| 75% | 304.18 | +7.4% |
| 84% | 311.45 | +9.9% |
| 95% | 326.54 | +15.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (297.51) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (311.67) | 16% |
| Down 5% or more (269.17) | 30% |
| Down 10% or more (255.01) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 1.4× the 15% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.