CHRW
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.Pre-market139.75−2.56 −1.80%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 139.50 −0.18%
Open
140.13
Prev close
142.31
Day range
138.62141.00
52-week range
123.64210.33
Volume
1.28M0.66×
Mkt cap
16.30B
P/E ttm
26.67
Fwd P/E
18.65
EPS ttm
5.24
Div yield
1.80%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−33.56%
CHRW market-implied price distribution
CHRW Price at Expiry
28 OTM quotes · ATM IV 45.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 139.75
Expected price
140.32
forward 140.26
68% range
120–158
−13.9% / +13.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 99.54 | −28.8% |
| 16% | 120.35 | −13.9% |
| 25% | 126.62 | −9.4% |
| 50% (median) | 138.40 | −1.0% |
| 75% | 150.88 | +8.0% |
| 84% | 158.00 | +13.1% |
| 95% | 179.82 | +28.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (146.74) | 32% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (153.73) | 21% |
| Down 5% or more (132.76) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (125.78) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 0.9× the 25% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.