CEVA
CEVA, Inc.After hours30.86−0.89 −2.80%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 30.86 0.00%
Open
30.94
Prev close
31.75
Day range
30.3631.72
52-week range
17.0251.60
Volume
380.89K0.51×
Mkt cap
868.83M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
38.46
EPS ttm
-0.4000
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 10, 2026
From 52w high
−40.19%
CEVA market-implied price distribution
CEVA Price at Expiry
11 OTM quotes · ATM IV 79.9%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 30.86
Expected price
30.65
forward 30.81
68% range
23–38
−25.7% / +22.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 14.62 | −52.6% |
| 16% | 22.92 | −25.7% |
| 25% | 25.42 | −17.6% |
| 50% (median) | 30.14 | −2.3% |
| 75% | 35.09 | +13.7% |
| 84% | 37.84 | +22.6% |
| 95% | 45.85 | +48.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (32.40) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (33.95) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (29.32) | 45% |
| Down 10% or more (27.77) | 37% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 37%, 0.9× the 39% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.