CELH
Celsius Holdings, Inc.Open27.95−0.44 −1.55%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 14:04 ET · 15m delay
Open
28.16
Prev close
28.39
Day range
27.6228.33
52-week range
23.5666.74
Volume
1.86M0.21×
Mkt cap
7.07B
P/E ttm
121.52
Fwd P/E
16.39
EPS ttm
0.2300
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−58.12%
CELH market-implied price distribution
CELH Price at Expiry
16 OTM quotes · ATM IV 64.8%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 27.95
Expected price
28.12
forward 28.04
68% range
23–33
−18.0% / +18.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 19.94 | −28.7% |
| 16% | 22.91 | −18.0% |
| 25% | 24.37 | −12.8% |
| 50% (median) | 27.53 | −1.5% |
| 75% | 31.15 | +11.5% |
| 84% | 33.20 | +18.8% |
| 95% | 38.65 | +38.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (29.35) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (30.75) | 27% |
| Down 5% or more (26.55) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (25.16) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 1.0× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.