CCS
Century Communities, Inc.Open55.70+0.65 +1.19%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:49 ET · 20m delay
Open
55.63
Prev close
55.04
Day range
54.9756.38
52-week range
47.2876.00
Volume
85.05K0.33×
Mkt cap
1.58B
P/E ttm
12.24
Fwd P/E
12.13
EPS ttm
4.55
Div yield
2.27%
Earnings
Oct 28, 2026
From 52w high
−26.72%
CCS market-implied price distribution
CCS Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 54.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 55.70
Expected price
56.19
forward 55.93
68% range
47–65
−16.4% / +17.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 41.62 | −25.3% |
| 16% | 46.55 | −16.4% |
| 25% | 49.19 | −11.7% |
| 50% (median) | 55.00 | −1.2% |
| 75% | 61.60 | +10.6% |
| 84% | 65.36 | +17.4% |
| 95% | 76.02 | +36.5% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (58.48) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (61.26) | 26% |
| Down 5% or more (52.91) | 40% |
| Down 10% or more (50.13) | 28% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 28%, 1.0× the 30% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.