CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Pre-market105.38+0.30 +0.29%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 106.06 +0.65%
Open
106.47
Prev close
105.08
Day range
105.10106.73
52-week range
84.66113.67
Volume
1.16M0.63×
Mkt cap
46.31B
P/E ttm
20.34
Fwd P/E
19.21
EPS ttm
5.18
Div yield
2.28%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−7.29%
CCEP market-implied price distribution
CCEP Price at Expiry
18 OTM quotes · ATM IV 25.8%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
59%
spot 105.38
Expected price
107.09
forward 105.08
68% range
99–114
−6.3% / +8.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 90.29 | −14.3% |
| 16% | 98.71 | −6.3% |
| 25% | 101.76 | −3.4% |
| 50% (median) | 107.02 | +1.6% |
| 75% | 111.76 | +6.1% |
| 84% | 114.20 | +8.4% |
| 95% | 121.63 | +15.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (110.65) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (115.92) | 12% |
| Down 5% or more (100.11) | 20% |
| Down 10% or more (94.84) | 9.2% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 9.2%, 0.8× the 12% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.