CASS
Cass Information Systems, IncOpen53.71+0.34 +0.64%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 15:49 ET · 15m delay
Open
53.71
Prev close
53.37
Day range
53.3253.71
52-week range
36.0759.63
Volume
35.93K0.45×
Mkt cap
686.20M
P/E ttm
19.32
Fwd P/E
14.82
EPS ttm
2.78
Div yield
2.40%
Earnings
Jul 23, 2026
From 52w high
−9.93%
CASS market-implied price distribution
CASS Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 58.0%
Days to expiry
66
Fri, Dec 18, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 53.71
Expected price
53.46
forward 54.11
68% range
41–67
−23.8% / +24.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 28.42 | −47.1% |
| 16% | 40.93 | −23.8% |
| 25% | 45.06 | −16.1% |
| 50% (median) | 52.97 | −1.4% |
| 75% | 61.31 | +14.2% |
| 84% | 66.63 | +24.0% |
| 95% | 78.31 | +45.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (56.40) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (59.08) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (51.02) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (48.34) | 34% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 34%, 0.9× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.