CART
Maplebear Inc.Open49.79+1.96 +4.10%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 14:51 ET · 15m delay
Open
48.30
Prev close
47.83
Day range
48.1950.11
52-week range
32.7352.68
Volume
1.82M0.46×
Mkt cap
11.82B
P/E ttm
27.21
Fwd P/E
10.17
EPS ttm
1.83
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−5.49%
CART market-implied price distribution
CART Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 50.3%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
51%
spot 49.79
Expected price
49.42
forward 49.96
68% range
42–57
−15.5% / +13.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 32.95 | −33.8% |
| 16% | 42.06 | −15.5% |
| 25% | 44.98 | −9.7% |
| 50% (median) | 50.02 | +0.5% |
| 75% | 54.57 | +9.6% |
| 84% | 56.72 | +13.9% |
| 95% | 62.21 | +25.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (52.28) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (54.77) | 24% |
| Down 5% or more (47.30) | 35% |
| Down 10% or more (44.81) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 1.0× the 25% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.