CAPR
Capricor Therapeutics, Inc.Closed6.88−0.59 −7.90%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 6.85 −0.44%
Open
7.32
Prev close
7.47
Day range
6.877.40
52-week range
2.9640.37
Volume
2.63M0.38×
Mkt cap
400.00M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-4.74
EPS ttm
-2.45
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 13, 2026
From 52w high
−82.96%
CAPR market-implied price distribution
CAPR Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 440.7%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
97.8%
spot 6.88
Expected price
18.45
forward 6.90
68% range
10–25
+44.7% / +256.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 7.50 | +9.0% |
| 16% | 9.96 | +44.7% |
| 25% | 11.97 | +73.9% |
| 50% (median) | 16.07 | +133.5% |
| 75% | 21.10 | +206.6% |
| 84% | 24.54 | +256.7% |
| 95% | 37.75 | +448.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (7.22) | 96.2% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (7.57) | 94.7% |
| Down 5% or more (6.54) | 0.7% |
| Down 10% or more (6.19) | 0.0% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 0.0%, 0.0× the 71% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.