BYD
Boyd Gaming CorporationPre-market69.37+0.44 +0.64%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 20m delay
Open
68.88
Prev close
68.93
Day range
68.3069.59
52-week range
65.0091.41
Volume
817.13K0.81×
Mkt cap
5.04B
P/E ttm
3.05
Fwd P/E
9.07
EPS ttm
22.76
Div yield
1.15%
Earnings
Oct 22, 2026
From 52w high
−24.11%
BYD market-implied price distribution
BYD Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 34.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
55%
spot 69.37
Expected price
69.67
forward 70.13
68% range
62–76
−10.9% / +10.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 51.16 | −26.2% |
| 16% | 61.81 | −10.9% |
| 25% | 65.35 | −5.8% |
| 50% (median) | 70.19 | +1.2% |
| 75% | 74.28 | +7.1% |
| 84% | 76.39 | +10.1% |
| 95% | 82.52 | +19.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (72.84) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (76.31) | 16% |
| Down 5% or more (65.90) | 27% |
| Down 10% or more (62.43) | 17% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 17%, 1.1× the 16% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.