BMI
Badger Meter, Inc.After hours131.25−1.14 −0.86%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 131.25 −0.01%
Open
130.40
Prev close
132.39
Day range
128.63132.32
52-week range
112.09204.00
Volume
315.97K0.75×
Mkt cap
3.80B
P/E ttm
30.67
Fwd P/E
26.46
EPS ttm
4.28
Div yield
1.33%
Earnings
Oct 22, 2026
From 52w high
−35.66%
BMI market-implied price distribution
BMI Price at Expiry
31 OTM quotes · ATM IV 50.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 131.25
Expected price
132.40
forward 130.80
68% range
112–150
−14.4% / +14.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 92.80 | −29.3% |
| 16% | 112.32 | −14.4% |
| 25% | 118.75 | −9.5% |
| 50% (median) | 130.54 | −0.5% |
| 75% | 142.71 | +8.7% |
| 84% | 149.72 | +14.1% |
| 95% | 174.60 | +33.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (137.81) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (144.38) | 22% |
| Down 5% or more (124.69) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (118.13) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 0.8× the 29% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.