BMA
Banco Macro S.A.Open66.31+1.32 +2.03%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:52 ET · 20m delay
Open
64.33
Prev close
64.99
Day range
64.2366.76
52-week range
50.24106.15
Volume
183.89K0.63×
Mkt cap
4.24B
P/E ttm
13.56
Fwd P/E
5.89
EPS ttm
4.89
Div yield
7.01%
Earnings
Aug 19, 2026
From 52w high
−37.53%
BMA market-implied price distribution
BMA Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 52.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
54%
spot 66.31
Expected price
65.84
forward 66.59
68% range
54–77
−19.2% / +15.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 38.59 | −41.8% |
| 16% | 53.59 | −19.2% |
| 25% | 58.80 | −11.3% |
| 50% (median) | 67.59 | +1.9% |
| 75% | 74.78 | +12.8% |
| 84% | 76.65 | +15.6% |
| 95% | 84.96 | +28.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (69.63) | 43% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (72.94) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (62.99) | 35% |
| Down 10% or more (59.68) | 27% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 27%, 0.9× the 28% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.