BLSH
BullishOpen31.72+0.09 +0.28%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 20m delay
Open
31.10
Prev close
31.63
Day range
31.0832.27
52-week range
20.5560.52
Volume
535.87K0.36×
Mkt cap
4.81B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
43.75
EPS ttm
-9.70
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 13, 2026
From 52w high
−47.59%
BLSH market-implied price distribution
BLSH Price at Expiry
12 OTM quotes · ATM IV 75.7%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 31.72
Expected price
32.09
forward 32.06
68% range
25–39
−22.1% / +22.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 21.08 | −33.5% |
| 16% | 24.72 | −22.1% |
| 25% | 26.74 | −15.7% |
| 50% (median) | 31.54 | −0.6% |
| 75% | 36.20 | +14.1% |
| 84% | 38.75 | +22.2% |
| 95% | 46.03 | +45.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (33.31) | 40% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (34.89) | 31% |
| Down 5% or more (30.13) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (28.55) | 33% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 33%, 1.0× the 34% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.