BLLN
BillionToOne, Inc.Closed94.44+1.37 +1.47%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 94.44 0.00%
Open
91.81
Prev close
93.07
Day range
90.4896.00
52-week range
61.96150.44
Volume
664.04K0.98×
Mkt cap
4.46B
P/E ttm
143.09
Fwd P/E
63.60
EPS ttm
0.6600
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−37.22%
BLLN market-implied price distribution
BLLN Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 74.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 94.44
Expected price
95.30
forward 95.24
68% range
71–115
−25.1% / +22.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 54.79 | −42.0% |
| 16% | 70.78 | −25.1% |
| 25% | 79.22 | −16.1% |
| 50% (median) | 93.04 | −1.5% |
| 75% | 107.03 | +13.3% |
| 84% | 115.28 | +22.1% |
| 95% | 147.93 | +56.6% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (99.16) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (103.88) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (89.72) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (85.00) | 34% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 34%, 0.9× the 36% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.