BL
BlackLine, Inc.Open29.64+0.34 +1.16%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 10:19 ET · 15m delay
Open
29.37
Prev close
29.30
Day range
29.3729.99
52-week range
24.7059.57
Volume
100.25K0.10×
Mkt cap
1.72B
P/E ttm
52.00
Fwd P/E
10.73
EPS ttm
0.5700
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 4, 2026
From 52w high
−50.24%
BL market-implied price distribution
BL Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 43.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
77%
spot 29.64
Expected price
33.56
forward 31.86
68% range
28–37
−4.2% / +25.7%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 24.65 | −16.8% |
| 16% | 28.40 | −4.2% |
| 25% | 29.86 | +0.7% |
| 50% (median) | 32.56 | +9.8% |
| 75% | 35.42 | +19.5% |
| 84% | 37.27 | +25.7% |
| 95% | 50.98 | +72.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (31.12) | 64% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (32.60) | 50% |
| Down 5% or more (28.16) | 15% |
| Down 10% or more (26.68) | 9.3% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 9.3%, 0.8× the 12% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.