BKSY
BlackSky Technology Inc.Open17.55−2.17 −11.00%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 14, 12:53 ET · 20m delay
Open
19.09
Prev close
19.72
Day range
17.5019.39
52-week range
12.4152.88
Volume
879.49K0.90×
Mkt cap
718.23M
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-48.75
EPS ttm
-1.77
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−66.81%
BKSY market-implied price distribution
BKSY Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 89.0%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 17.55
Expected price
17.85
forward 17.85
68% range
13–23
−25.4% / +28.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 11.54 | −34.2% |
| 16% | 13.09 | −25.4% |
| 25% | 14.11 | −19.6% |
| 50% (median) | 16.83 | −4.1% |
| 75% | 20.50 | +16.8% |
| 84% | 22.63 | +28.9% |
| 95% | 27.74 | +58.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (18.43) | 38% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (19.31) | 32% |
| Down 5% or more (16.67) | 49% |
| Down 10% or more (15.80) | 41% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 41%, 1.1× the 39% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.