BKCH
Global X Blockchain ETFClosed63.17−0.37 −0.57%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 64.00 +1.31%
Open
62.00
Prev close
63.54
Day range
61.5063.58
52-week range
50.99123.69
Volume
34.41K0.61×
P/E ttm
12.83
EPS ttm
4.92
Div yield
1.75%
From 52w high
−48.93%
BKCH market-implied price distribution
BKCH Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 73.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
38%
spot 63.17
Expected price
66.07
forward 63.43
68% range
51–81
−18.7% / +27.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 43.77 | −30.7% |
| 16% | 51.38 | −18.7% |
| 25% | 54.08 | −14.4% |
| 50% (median) | 59.82 | −5.3% |
| 75% | 68.96 | +9.2% |
| 84% | 80.75 | +27.8% |
| 95% | 112.56 | +78.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (66.33) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (69.49) | 24% |
| Down 5% or more (60.01) | 51% |
| Down 10% or more (56.85) | 37% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 37%, 1.0× the 36% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.