BETA
Beta Technologies, Inc.Open18.27−1.55 −7.83%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 15:50 ET · 20m delay
Open
19.80
Prev close
19.82
Day range
18.1219.61
52-week range
13.4339.50
Volume
1.69M0.68×
Mkt cap
4.27B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-8.12
EPS ttm
-5.21
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 12, 2026
From 52w high
−53.75%
BETA market-implied price distribution
BETA Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 80.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 18.27
Expected price
18.57
forward 18.60
68% range
14–23
−24.7% / +26.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 10.98 | −39.9% |
| 16% | 13.75 | −24.7% |
| 25% | 15.15 | −17.1% |
| 50% (median) | 18.12 | −0.8% |
| 75% | 21.40 | +17.1% |
| 84% | 23.17 | +26.8% |
| 95% | 27.64 | +51.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (19.18) | 41% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (20.09) | 34% |
| Down 5% or more (17.35) | 43% |
| Down 10% or more (16.44) | 35% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 35%, 1.0× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.