BCPC
Balchem CorporationOpen170.48+2.29 +1.36%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 15:46 ET · 15m delay
Open
168.50
Prev close
168.19
Day range
167.02171.04
52-week range
140.70183.90
Volume
88.83K0.44×
Mkt cap
5.43B
P/E ttm
33.56
Fwd P/E
27.18
EPS ttm
5.08
Div yield
0.57%
Earnings
Oct 23, 2026
From 52w high
−7.30%
BCPC market-implied price distribution
BCPC Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 10.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
2.4%
spot 170.48
Expected price
157.91
forward 160.19
68% range
157–157
−8.1% / −8.0%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 155.64 | −8.7% |
| 16% | 156.60 | −8.1% |
| 25% | 156.65 | −8.1% |
| 50% (median) | 156.77 | −8.0% |
| 75% | 156.87 | −8.0% |
| 84% | 156.92 | −8.0% |
| 95% | 157.03 | −7.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (179.00) | 2.4% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (187.53) | 2.4% |
| Down 5% or more (161.96) | 97.6% |
| Down 10% or more (153.43) | 2.2% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 2.2%, 0.2× the 9.9% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.