BCE
BCE, Inc.After hours19.48+0.62 +3.29%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 19.48 +0.03%
Open
19.06
Prev close
18.86
Day range
19.0819.68
52-week range
18.6826.52
Volume
5.37M1.34×
Mkt cap
18.17B
P/E ttm
3.99
Fwd P/E
10.53
EPS ttm
4.88
Div yield
6.51%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−26.55%
BCE market-implied price distribution
BCE Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 32.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 19.48
Expected price
19.67
forward 19.35
68% range
17–21
−11.2% / +8.1%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 15.88 | −18.5% |
| 16% | 17.30 | −11.2% |
| 25% | 18.15 | −6.8% |
| 50% (median) | 19.40 | −0.4% |
| 75% | 20.43 | +4.9% |
| 84% | 21.05 | +8.1% |
| 95% | 27.21 | +39.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (20.45) | 25% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (21.43) | 13% |
| Down 5% or more (18.51) | 30% |
| Down 10% or more (17.53) | 18% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 18%, 1.0× the 19% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.