BCC
Boise Cascade, L.L.C.After hours74.08+0.67 +0.91%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 74.08 0.00%
Open
74.32
Prev close
73.41
Day range
73.0974.79
52-week range
65.0091.97
Volume
241.19K0.68×
Mkt cap
2.58B
P/E ttm
25.20
Fwd P/E
14.15
EPS ttm
2.94
Div yield
1.21%
Earnings
Aug 3, 2026
From 52w high
−19.45%
BCC market-implied price distribution
BCC Price at Expiry
7 OTM quotes · ATM IV 47.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
48%
spot 74.08
Expected price
74.28
forward 74.39
68% range
63–85
−14.8% / +14.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 55.19 | −25.5% |
| 16% | 63.13 | −14.8% |
| 25% | 66.92 | −9.7% |
| 50% (median) | 73.71 | −0.5% |
| 75% | 80.77 | +9.0% |
| 84% | 84.87 | +14.6% |
| 95% | 95.86 | +29.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (77.78) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (81.49) | 23% |
| Down 5% or more (70.38) | 37% |
| Down 10% or more (66.67) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 0.9× the 26% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.