BC
Brunswick CorporationOpen61.72−0.42 −0.68%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:15 ET · 20m delay
Open
62.49
Prev close
62.14
Day range
61.5063.45
52-week range
59.0690.25
Volume
23.59K0.03×
Mkt cap
4.00B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
11.38
EPS ttm
-1.32
Div yield
2.83%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−31.61%
BC market-implied price distribution
BC Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 47.2%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
54%
spot 61.72
Expected price
62.79
forward 62.87
68% range
53–71
−13.9% / +15.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 47.71 | −22.7% |
| 16% | 53.12 | −13.9% |
| 25% | 56.46 | −8.5% |
| 50% (median) | 62.52 | +1.3% |
| 75% | 68.38 | +10.8% |
| 84% | 71.46 | +15.8% |
| 95% | 80.21 | +30.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (64.81) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (67.89) | 27% |
| Down 5% or more (58.63) | 33% |
| Down 10% or more (55.55) | 22% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 22%, 1.0× the 23% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.