BAM
Brookfield Asset Management IncOpen45.32−0.51 −1.11%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:19 ET · 20m delay
Open
46.00
Prev close
45.83
Day range
45.1746.18
52-week range
42.2057.56
Volume
779.67K0.29×
Mkt cap
72.39B
P/E ttm
26.05
Fwd P/E
20.97
EPS ttm
1.74
Div yield
4.39%
Earnings
Nov 6, 2026
From 52w high
−21.26%
BAM market-implied price distribution
BAM Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 32.1%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
58%
spot 45.32
Expected price
46.00
forward 46.07
68% range
42–50
−8.0% / +11.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 37.35 | −17.6% |
| 16% | 41.68 | −8.0% |
| 25% | 43.26 | −4.5% |
| 50% (median) | 46.18 | +1.9% |
| 75% | 48.98 | +8.1% |
| 84% | 50.41 | +11.2% |
| 95% | 53.91 | +18.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (47.59) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (49.85) | 19% |
| Down 5% or more (43.05) | 24% |
| Down 10% or more (40.79) | 12% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 12%, 0.9× the 13% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.