B
Barrick Mining CorporationAfter hours40.52−0.31 −0.76%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 16:00 ET · 20m delayAfter hours 40.52 0.00%
Open
41.09
Prev close
40.83
Day range
40.1241.19
52-week range
30.3554.69
Volume
5.44M0.57×
Mkt cap
66.69B
P/E ttm
10.47
Fwd P/E
9.28
EPS ttm
3.87
Div yield
1.71%
Earnings
Nov 9, 2026
From 52w high
−25.91%
B market-implied price distribution
B Price at Expiry
14 OTM quotes · ATM IV 42.2%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
52%
spot 40.52
Expected price
40.70
forward 40.81
68% range
35–46
−14.1% / +12.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 31.23 | −22.9% |
| 16% | 34.81 | −14.1% |
| 25% | 37.34 | −7.8% |
| 50% (median) | 40.70 | +0.5% |
| 75% | 43.77 | +8.0% |
| 84% | 45.53 | +12.4% |
| 95% | 50.95 | +25.7% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (42.55) | 34% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (44.57) | 20% |
| Down 5% or more (38.49) | 32% |
| Down 10% or more (36.47) | 21% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 21%, 1.1× the 20% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.