AVT
Avnet, Inc.Open98.46+1.31 +1.34%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 14:51 ET · 15m delay
Open
95.68
Prev close
97.15
Day range
95.2499.28
52-week range
44.25108.63
Volume
1.05M0.85×
Mkt cap
8.10B
P/E ttm
24.55
Fwd P/E
8.91
EPS ttm
4.01
Div yield
1.52%
Earnings
Aug 5, 2026
From 52w high
−9.37%
AVT market-implied price distribution
AVT Price at Expiry
19 OTM quotes · ATM IV 51.3%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 98.46
Expected price
98.97
forward 98.85
68% range
84–114
−15.0% / +15.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 58.56 | −40.5% |
| 16% | 83.70 | −15.0% |
| 25% | 89.08 | −9.5% |
| 50% (median) | 98.39 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 107.89 | +9.6% |
| 84% | 113.52 | +15.3% |
| 95% | 138.24 | +40.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (103.38) | 36% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (108.30) | 24% |
| Down 5% or more (93.53) | 36% |
| Down 10% or more (88.61) | 24% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 24%, 0.9× the 28% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.