AVGG
Leverage Shares 2X Long AVGO DaClosed21.09−1.43 −6.33%USD
NasdaqGM · as of Oct 14, 16:00 ET · 15m delayAfter hours 20.60 −2.34%
Open
21.96
Prev close
22.52
Day range
20.7622.07
52-week range
17.8749.44
Volume
158.11K0.54×
Div yield
2.78%
From 52w high
−57.33%
AVGG market-implied price distribution
AVGG Price at Expiry
17 OTM quotes · ATM IV 75.1%
Days to expiry
37
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 21.09
Expected price
21.15
forward 21.19
68% range
16–26
−25.1% / +22.4%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 11.97 | −43.3% |
| 16% | 15.79 | −25.1% |
| 25% | 17.62 | −16.5% |
| 50% (median) | 20.67 | −2.0% |
| 75% | 23.86 | +13.1% |
| 84% | 25.81 | +22.4% |
| 95% | 32.86 | +55.8% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (22.15) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (23.20) | 29% |
| Down 5% or more (20.04) | 44% |
| Down 10% or more (18.99) | 35% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 35%, 1.0× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.