ATS
ATS CorporationOpen17.54−0.04 −0.24%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 11:21 ET · 20m delay
Open
17.57
Prev close
17.58
Day range
17.4717.75
52-week range
17.3235.82
Volume
61.88K0.25×
Mkt cap
1.72B
P/E ttm
50.11
Fwd P/E
12.87
EPS ttm
0.3500
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 6, 2026
From 52w high
−51.04%
ATS market-implied price distribution
ATS Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 58.4%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
44%
spot 17.54
Expected price
17.87
forward 17.61
68% range
15–19
−17.1% / +7.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 11.55 | −34.1% |
| 16% | 14.54 | −17.1% |
| 25% | 16.79 | −4.3% |
| 50% (median) | 17.01 | −3.0% |
| 75% | 18.77 | +7.0% |
| 84% | 18.82 | +7.3% |
| 95% | 30.33 | +73.0% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (18.41) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (19.29) | 8.6% |
| Down 5% or more (16.66) | 24% |
| Down 10% or more (15.78) | 19% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 19%, 0.6× the 31% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.