ATRO
Astronics CorporationOpen62.47−0.82 −1.30%USD
NasdaqGS · as of Oct 13, 13:45 ET · 15m delay
Open
63.01
Prev close
63.29
Day range
61.1363.17
52-week range
33.1294.46
Volume
193.96K0.33×
Mkt cap
2.69B
P/E ttm
34.14
Fwd P/E
20.57
EPS ttm
1.83
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 11, 2026
From 52w high
−33.87%
ATRO market-implied price distribution
ATRO Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 63.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
46%
spot 62.47
Expected price
63.27
forward 62.54
68% range
49–74
−21.7% / +18.3%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 41.59 | −33.4% |
| 16% | 48.89 | −21.7% |
| 25% | 53.89 | −13.7% |
| 50% (median) | 61.39 | −1.7% |
| 75% | 69.07 | +10.6% |
| 84% | 73.89 | +18.3% |
| 95% | 97.72 | +56.4% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (65.59) | 35% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (68.72) | 26% |
| Down 5% or more (59.35) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (56.22) | 32% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 32%, 0.9× the 34% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.