ATR
AptarGroup, Inc.Open118.88−0.07 −0.06%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 10:19 ET · 20m delay
Open
120.21
Prev close
118.95
Day range
118.44120.60
52-week range
103.23146.91
Volume
28.84K0.06×
Mkt cap
7.56B
P/E ttm
21.46
Fwd P/E
19.09
EPS ttm
5.54
Div yield
1.61%
Earnings
Oct 29, 2026
From 52w high
−19.08%
ATR market-implied price distribution
ATR Price at Expiry
15 OTM quotes · ATM IV 31.6%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
82%
spot 119.07
Expected price
130.93
forward 133.21
68% range
116–148
−2.5% / +24.5%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 69.69 | −41.5% |
| 16% | 116.10 | −2.5% |
| 25% | 126.08 | +5.9% |
| 50% (median) | 137.87 | +15.8% |
| 75% | 145.31 | +22.0% |
| 84% | 148.19 | +24.5% |
| 95% | 153.52 | +28.9% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (125.02) | 76% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (130.98) | 67% |
| Down 5% or more (113.12) | 14% |
| Down 10% or more (107.16) | 12% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 12%, 6.4× the 1.9% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.