ATEX
Anterix Inc.Open84.62−0.35 −0.41%USD
NasdaqCM · as of Oct 13, 13:44 ET · 15m delay
Open
84.74
Prev close
84.96
Day range
82.4385.47
52-week range
17.58113.00
Volume
163.41K0.51×
Mkt cap
1.66B
P/E ttm
24.18
Fwd P/E
41.08
EPS ttm
3.50
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 11, 2026
From 52w high
−25.12%
ATEX market-implied price distribution
ATEX Price at Expiry
20 OTM quotes · ATM IV 75.0%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 84.62
Expected price
84.38
forward 84.35
68% range
63–101
−25.2% / +19.9%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 29.80 | −64.8% |
| 16% | 63.30 | −25.2% |
| 25% | 71.64 | −15.3% |
| 50% (median) | 83.41 | −1.4% |
| 75% | 94.62 | +11.8% |
| 84% | 101.44 | +19.9% |
| 95% | 143.23 | +69.3% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (88.85) | 37% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (93.08) | 28% |
| Down 5% or more (80.38) | 42% |
| Down 10% or more (76.15) | 33% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 33%, 0.9× the 38% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.