ATEN
A10 Networks, Inc.Open28.720.00 0.00%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 13:38 ET · 20m delay
Open
28.47
Prev close
28.72
Day range
27.8329.18
52-week range
16.5238.49
Volume
258.74K0.20×
Mkt cap
2.09B
P/E ttm
49.52
Fwd P/E
24.22
EPS ttm
0.5800
Div yield
0.84%
Earnings
Nov 5, 2026
From 52w high
−25.38%
ATEN market-implied price distribution
ATEN Price at Expiry
10 OTM quotes · ATM IV 56.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
47%
spot 28.72
Expected price
29.24
forward 28.69
68% range
24–33
−16.0% / +15.6%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 17.98 | −37.4% |
| 16% | 24.13 | −16.0% |
| 25% | 25.66 | −10.7% |
| 50% (median) | 28.38 | −1.2% |
| 75% | 31.32 | +9.1% |
| 84% | 33.19 | +15.6% |
| 95% | 44.56 | +55.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (30.16) | 33% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (31.59) | 23% |
| Down 5% or more (27.28) | 39% |
| Down 10% or more (25.85) | 26% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 26%, 0.8× the 32% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.