NasdaqGM · as of Oct 12, 16:00 ET · 15m delayPre-market 27.63−0.29%
Open
27.70
Prev close
27.80
Day range
27.0427.96
52-week range
7.0236.20
Volume
5.67M0.82×
Mkt cap
2.80B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
-28.86
EPS ttm
-204.80
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Aug 10, 2026
From 52w high
−23.45%
ASST market-implied price distribution
ODDS
ASST Price at Expiry
29 OTM quotes · ATM IV 84.5%
Days to expiry
31
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
P(finish above spot)
42%
spot 27.71
Expected price
28.02
forward 27.85
68% range
21–35
−24.7% / +26.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
TGT
Target Price
PCTL
Percentiles
Chance below
Price
vs spot
5%
18.44
−33.5%
16%
20.88
−24.7%
25%
22.34
−19.4%
50% (median)
26.20
−5.4%
75%
31.59
+14.0%
84%
34.96
+26.2%
95%
44.60
+61.0%
MOVE
Move Odds
Up 5% or more (29.10)
35%
Up 10% or more (30.48)
29%
Down 5% or more (26.32)
51%
Down 10% or more (24.94)
42%
Options price a 10%+ drop at 42%, 1.1× the 37% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.