ASH
Ashland Inc.Open71.37+0.59 +0.83%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 11:21 ET · 20m delay
Open
71.20
Prev close
70.78
Day range
70.6371.65
52-week range
47.1278.25
Volume
20.28K0.03×
Mkt cap
3.27B
P/E ttm
45.75
Fwd P/E
16.60
EPS ttm
1.56
Div yield
2.37%
Earnings
Nov 3, 2026
From 52w high
−8.79%
ASH market-implied price distribution
ASH Price at Expiry
9 OTM quotes · ATM IV 33.8%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
50%
spot 71.37
Expected price
71.32
forward 71.67
68% range
64–79
−10.8% / +10.8%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 47.85 | −33.0% |
| 16% | 63.66 | −10.8% |
| 25% | 66.64 | −6.6% |
| 50% (median) | 71.30 | −0.1% |
| 75% | 76.05 | +6.6% |
| 84% | 79.10 | +10.8% |
| 95% | 92.83 | +30.1% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (74.94) | 30% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (78.51) | 17% |
| Down 5% or more (67.80) | 30% |
| Down 10% or more (64.23) | 17% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 17%, 1.0× the 17% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.