ASAN
Asana, Inc.Open10.02+0.13 +1.26%USD
NYSE · as of Oct 13, 14:52 ET · 20m delay
Open
9.87
Prev close
9.89
Day range
9.7710.21
52-week range
5.3815.28
Volume
2.19M0.35×
Mkt cap
2.29B
P/E ttm
—
Fwd P/E
22.02
EPS ttm
-0.6600
Div yield
0.00%
Earnings
Sep 3, 2026
From 52w high
−34.46%
ASAN market-implied price distribution
ASAN Price at Expiry
6 OTM quotes · ATM IV 68.7%
Days to expiry
38
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
P(finish above spot)
49%
spot 10.02
Expected price
10.09
forward 10.13
68% range
8–12
−20.8% / +21.2%
Shaded band: the middle 68% of outcomes. Where the blue curve sits above the dashed one, options price that move as likelier than a plain bell curve would.
Target Price
Percentiles
| Chance below | Price | vs spot |
|---|---|---|
| 5% | 5.82 | −41.9% |
| 16% | 7.93 | −20.8% |
| 25% | 8.64 | −13.8% |
| 50% (median) | 9.98 | −0.4% |
| 75% | 11.38 | +13.6% |
| 84% | 12.14 | +21.2% |
| 95% | 14.25 | +42.2% |
Move Odds
| Up 5% or more (10.52) | 39% |
|---|---|
| Up 10% or more (11.02) | 30% |
| Down 5% or more (9.52) | 41% |
| Down 10% or more (9.02) | 31% |
Options price a 10%+ drop at 31%, 0.9× the 34% a bell curve with the same volatility gives.
Risk-neutral odds from option prices, the bot's lgf odds method: out-of-the-money mids → implied vols → a smoothed smile in total variance → density = erT·∂²C/∂K² (Breeden–Litzenberger). Risk-neutral odds include the market's risk premium, so they lean bearish compared with real-world odds. Not investment advice.